Monday, July 30, 2012

Are the Olympic Medals real Gold?

The last Olympic gold medal that was actually made from gold was awarded in 1912. So, if Olympic gold medals aren't gold, then what are they? The specific composition and design of Olympic medals is determined by the host city's organizing committee. However, certain standards must be maintained:
  • Gold and silver medals are 92.5% silver.
  • Gold medals must be plated with at least 6 grams of gold.
  • All Olympic medals must be at least 3 mm thick and at least 60 mm in diameter.
Bronze medals are bronze, an alloy of copper and usually tin. It's worth noting that gold, silver, and bronze medals have not always been awarded. At the 1896 Olympic Games, the winners were awarded silver medals, whiile the runners-up got bronze medals. The winners at the 1900 Olympics received trophies or cups instead of medals. The custom of awarding gold, silver, and bronze medals started at the 1904 Olympics. After the 1912 Olympics the gold medals have been gilded silver rather than real gold.
Although the Olympic gold medal is more silver than gold, there are gold medals that are really gold, such as the Congressional Gold Medal and Nobel Prize Medal. Before 1980 the Nobel Prize Medal was made from 23 carat gold. Newer Nobel Prize medals are 18 carat green gold plated with 24 carat gold.

Enjoy the Olympics and let us help you with all of your precious metals needs.  801.889.7200 or online at

Monday, July 16, 2012

Has Gold Peaked? An expert opinion

Is the gold price too high? Has gold peaked?

"I have been interested in gold, but the price is too high. What if it has reached the peak?" The gold price may actually be low compared to where it's going to be in 2012, 2015 or 2020 and beyond. There are several reasons why the gold price was undervalued in the past decades: debt was under control, so there was no need to print money (unlike today, when governments need to produce fresh money to pay back what they had borrowed). While money printing and borrowing were happening in a controlled manner, the inflation was contained. The financial markets were fairly stable and funds yielded attractive profits. Thus, safe heaven investments, such as gold, were unsought.
In addition, the Western central banks were selling large portions of their gold reserves in the expectation of a long-lasting economic boom. These sell-offs lead by the Bank of England, the International Monetary Fund and the European central banks peaked around 2000 and caused a further depression of the gold price.
But apart from the comparison to the prosperous 1990s, there is little evidence that the current gold price is too high. The purchasing power of one ounce of gold in terms of food, housing or other commodities is in line with historical records from decades and centuries ago. It suggests that gold is not expensive from the long-term perspective. Rather, the gold price is likely to keep rising due to the expected problems of the next 10 to 20 years: inflation from excessive money printing, turbulent markets caused by unstable (inflating) prices, new oil price shocks and government budgets affected by retiring Baby Boomers, and so on. 

Friday, July 6, 2012

$10,000 an ounce for Gold.....

BELIEVE IT OR NOT, there is a plausible path to a $10,000 an ounce Gold Price And it doesn't require a breakdown in civil society.

Speculators see central bankers as modern-day superheroes, able to push markets around with a single phrase. In the minds of most investors, Ben Bernanke, Mario Draghi and Masaaki Shirakawa might as well be wearing tights, masks and capes. These superhero central bankers continuously swoop down into the financial markets to defend them from downticks...and to insure that they always deliver capital gains.
The reality, of course, is that these superheroes are frauds. They have no superpowers...other than the power of mass delusion. The powers of Mario Draghi and the other central bankers in Europe are waning. Excess debt is like kryptonite: Each new wave of printing has less impact on markets. As the popular phrase goes: "This is a solvency problem, not a liquidity problem."
In other words, new money supply cannot restore health to sick loans and government bonds. The only way to restore solvency to the system is to deflate the economy or slash the amount of debt in the system through mass bankruptcy.
Or is there another way? Is there a "reset button" that central bankers can push (with the approval of political leaders) that would restore balance to the system?
We know central bankers would never want to deflate the economy or crash the value of debt, which would destroy the banking system. So how about inflating the money supply to dilute the value of debt? All in one fell swoop?
Right now, central bankers are diluting the value of debt very slowly by pushing interest rates below the rate of inflation. Some call this "financial repression." It's an unspoken policy that has many negative consequences. What is an alternative, since all attempts to "fix" the current system with more borrowing and printing are failing?
How about the classical gold standard, which stands out as the least flawed of all the systems we've tried. Each nation could choose to peg its local currency to gold at a price that allows for enough growth in bank reserves to greatly reduce the burden of public- and private-sector debts.
Re-pegging a currency like the US Dollar to gold at the current price (about $1,550) has its pitfalls. Most notably, it would not deleverage an overleveraged banking system. But re-pegging the Dollar to something like $10,000 an ounce might do the trick.
Hedge fund managers Lee Quaintance and Paul Brodsky from QB Asset Management wrote a fascinating outline on the potential reintroduction of gold into the monetary system, while simultaneously implementing what one might consider a debt jubilee. QB explains the mechanics of how it could work in the US:
Using the US as an example, the Fed would purchase Treasury's gold at a large and specified premium to its current spot valuation. The higher the price, the more base money would be created and the more public debt would be extinguished. An eight-to-10-fold increase in the Gold Price via this mechanism would fully reserve all existing US Dollar-denominated bank deposits (a full deleveraging of the banking system)."
Below is what the remonetization of gold would look like in chart form. The yellow line would rapidly approach the blue line. And the blue line will keep rising as we see further growth in the money supply. QB's "Shadow Gold Price" divides the US monetary base by official US gold holdings. Policymakers, who always feel the need to manage something, would appreciate that this is the same formula used during the Bretton Woods regime to peg the Dollar at $35 per ounce. In other words, the Shadow Gold Price is the theoretical price of gold after the Fed inflated the supply of Dollars to a level that would cover systemic bank liabilities and then re-pegged the Dollar to gold. Behold the path to $10,000 gold:

This path would weaken the economy-sapping effects of debt created since President Nixon closed the gold window. It would transform a debt-based currency into an asset-backed currency. No longer would one ask the unpleasant question "What backs the Dollar?" and come away with even more questions (and a headache). Right now, the Dollar is backed by Treasuries held on the Fed's balance sheet, which are in turn backed by Dollars, which are in turn backed by faith in fiat money — i.e., nothing!
QB's monetization scenario would impose losses on certain parties as the reset button is hit, but unlike most of the policy prescriptions we've seen lately, it seems to solve more problems than it creates. Most notably, politicians could argue that this reset would involve "migration of value, in real terms, from leveraged assets to unleveraged goods, services and assets." Wage earners would be winners relative to asset owners, because "stable to higher nominal asset prices would require even higher nominal wage and consumable pricing looking forward."
This scenario argues for holding some shares in producers of physical commodities (especially gold miners), even if it feels like we're in a deflationary environment. A gold standard, after a one-time debt monetization, would make for a more-balanced, efficient global economy less prone to violent booms and busts.
As an added bonus: Central bankers would no longer be viewed as superheroes! Just meager servants, pegging the money supply to gold and letting the free market determine the price of money. After all, when in history has central planning worked better over time than the free market?
We can hope the central bankers of the world stumble their way to a solution like that proposed by QB Asset Management before they inflict even more damage to the foundation of the global economy. Unfortunately, conditions may have to get much worse in financial markets, banking systems and economies before such "outside the box" ideas are considered. A defensive portfolio with exposure to gold and other real assets seems like the right mix in today's environment.

Give us a call for all of your precious metals needs at 801.889.7200 or online at